Opportunity Zones  Archives - Economic Innovation Group /topic/opportunity-zones/ An ideas lab and advocacy organization working to forge a more dynamic U.S. economy. Fri, 31 Jul 2026 18:09:01 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=7.0.3 New Treasury Data Emphasize Why OZ Designations Matter /why-oz-designations-matter/ Fri, 17 Jul 2026 10:30:33 +0000 /?p=25088 By Kenan Fikri, Catherine Lyons, and Phoenix Vu Just in time to inform governors’ work nominating the next round of Opportunity Zone (OZ) census tracts this summer, the Treasury Department has released new data reporting that federal OZ tax incentives drove more than $112 billion worth of investment capital into more than 6,000 communities [...]

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By Kenan Fikri, Catherine Lyons, and Phoenix Vu

Just in time to inform governors’ work nominating the next round of Opportunity Zone (OZ) census tracts this summer, the Treasury Department has released new data reporting that federal OZ tax incentives drove more than $112 billion worth of investment capital into more than 6,000 communities through the end of 2024.

The new statistics, released in an Office of Tax Analysis and derived from IRS tax filings, update previous estimates with two additional years of data to provide the fullest and most authoritative picture of OZ investment to date.[1] The timing is propitious, landing shortly after the 90-day nomination window opened on July 1 for governors to designate the next round of OZ census tracts. The new designations will come into effect on January 1, 2027 and last for a decade.

  • OZs are a national community investment tool that connects private capital with low-income communities across America. The idea was first introduced by 91PORN in 2015.
  • Since being enacted through the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017, OZs have enabled investors to make equity investments into new projects and enterprises in qualifying census tracts in exchange for certain tax reductions.
  • The One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) introduced a series of changes to the incentive and called for new rounds of qualifying census tracts to be designated each decade. Most new provisions of the OZ incentive come into effect on January 1, 2027, and are collectively referred to as “OZs 2.0.”[2]
  • OZs offer private taxpayers three incentives under the 2.0 rules:
    • A rolling 5-year deferral of taxes owed on a capital gain placed in a dedicated Qualified Opportunity Fund (QOF) — the technical term for an OZ investment vehicle.
    • A 10-percent step-up in basis on that tax bill once it comes due for investments into urban areas and a 30-percent step-up for investments into rural ones.
    • A permanent exclusion — meaning no capital gains taxes — on the subsequent investments made in OZs if held for at least 10 years.
  • All OZ investments must be economically additive to a community, supporting wholly new economic activity or substantially improving assets, structures, or enterprises already in qualifying areas.
  • OZs have yielded new economic growth and development in both urban and rural America, with highly effective instances taking root from Detroit to Dallas and Selma to Salt Lake City.

The numbers

The new statistics attest to the sheer scale of investment capital mobilized by the OZ policy. In terms of dollars invested, tracts reached, and investors participating, the Treasury report finds that:

  • There are approximately 12,800 QOFs active nationwide. These funds aggregate qualifying investment capital from 41,000 different taxpayers, 35,000 of which are individuals and 6,000 of which are corporations.
  • In total, QOFs hold $116 billion in total assets and $112 billion in deployed Qualified Opportunity Zone Property (QOZP), meaning tangible assets at work on the ground.
  • Designations translated into investment for 77 percent of all OZ census tracts across the 50 states and the District of Columbia.[3] In other words, of the 7,826 census tracts nominated by governors for OZ status in 2018, 6,026 of them had OZ investment on the ground by the end of 2024.
  • Rural tracts were no less likely to receive investment — a proportional 77 percent of rural tracts registered OZ investment. Rural investments, however, tended to be smaller. On average, rural tracts with OZ investments registered an average of $7.3 million, compared to $23.3 million in the average urban tract that received investment.

Prior to the new publication, the best-available estimates reported that OZs had mobilized $89 billion in private capital across two-thirds of designated tracts through the end of 2022.[4] The new results demonstrate that investors continued to find new opportunities in new census tracts in the years since.

What it means for state and local governments

OZs were made a permanent feature of the tax code in last summer's OBBBA. In that legislation, Congress called for a new round of OZ census tracts to be designated. It set a 90-day window beginning on July 1, 2026 for governors to nominate up to one-quarter of their eligible census tracts — determined by a stricter qualifying criteria than under the OZ 1.0 rules[5] — for OZ status. Those nominations will be reviewed and certified by the Treasury Department and go into effect on January 1, 2027. Designations will last a decade before governors are called on to nominate the next cohort.

Treasury's new analysis provides state and local officials in charge of zone designations with vital information. While the OZ 2.0 reform package included a robust data reporting regime that should eventually deliver tract-level statistics on the geography of OZ investment, those insights may not be available for several years yet. In the meantime, the new report is the only official, nationwide, cross-sectional analysis of OZ investment through the end of 2024, and it underscores just how important it is to get zone nominations right.

The average state saw more than $2 billion in OZ investment through the end of 2024. California, the nation's most populous state, led the way with $12.0 billion, followed by Florida with $8.8 billion and New York with $8.2 billion. Texas ($7.8 billion) and Arizona ($5.6 billion) round out the top five. No state saw less than $60 million (West Virginia), and only three other states (Alaska, Iowa, and North Dakota) saw less than $100 million.

If we put investments into per-capita terms, the competitiveness of different states in raising OZ capital comes into starker relief. DC and Utah are the clear leaders with $2,221 and $1,507 in cumulative OZ investment per person through the end of 2024. Arizona and Tennessee follow from there, each with over $700 per capita. New York narrowly beats out Florida, while most of the other top states for OZ investment per capita are in the West. Iowa, Illinois, and West Virginia all lag from this angle, too. For context, the total amount of OZ investment marshalled nationwide equates to $306 per person.[6]

The percentage of OZ tracts that received investment provides a useful scorecard for how well states did in selecting zones that attracted investor interest.[7] The numbers do not definitively pass judgement on selection teams or processes; nor do they necessarily capture the subjective "quality" of designations. Because governors made their selections with different priorities in mind, the "hit rate" is only one way to measure success. Recall, too, that OZs were entirely new in 2018, and it was not yet clear how the market would respond to the new incentive. However, assessing the hit rate can inform the next round of selections by identifying states that designated zones that elicited not only strong but also widespread investor interest.

Four jurisdictions lead the way with 96 percent of their OZs registering investment by the end of 2024: Arkansas, Mississippi, Hawaii, and DC. Nearly every designated tract saw investment in Colorado (94 percent), Oregon (93 percent), South Dakota (92 percent) and Arizona (91 percent), too. Nationwide, 77 percent of OZs registered investment, and most states cluster around that average. Alabama registered three-times more OZ investment dollars than its neighbor Mississippi, but it concentrated that investment in far fewer tracts: only 43 percent of Alabama's OZs saw investment. Illinois designated more misses than any other state, with only 23 percent of its OZ 1.0 tracts registering investment.

Rural tracts, again, were no less likely to receive investment than urban tracts. This finding is the closest thing to a bombshell in the Treasury report. QOF filings show that a proportional 77 percent of rural tracts registered OZ investment. In Colorado, a state that intentionally designated a disproportionate number of rural census tracts, 95 percent of rural tracts saw investment according to the new Treasury data. Those communities like Montrose, where OZ investment has developed a mixed-use commercial area bringing new jobs to the community, and Idaho Springs, where local investors are delivering much-needed workforce housing.

The breadth of rural investment runs counter to the conventional wisdom that rural areas were underserved by OZs, a belief that led Congress to write new provisions into OZs 2.0 that enhance the incentives for rural areas. 

That said, another figure suggests that Congress's rural concerns were not entirely misplaced. On average, rural tracts with OZ investment registered $7.3 million of it, compared to $23.3 million in the average urban tract that received investment. Rural investments tended to be smaller, which means that proportionally rural areas received far less total investment capital than urban areas did. In total, 38 percent of currently designated OZs are rural, but they have attracted only 16 percent of all OZ capital. In per capita terms, OZs unlocked approximately $4,386 of investment capital per resident in designated urban tracts compared to $1,407 per resident in designated rural ones. The difference likely points to the ability of large population centers to absorb more of certain types of investment. For example, a 300-unit apartment building might attract tens of millions of OZ dollars in an urban area but not be financially viable in a rural area, where it would struggle to find tenants. 

Zone designation process update

Earlier this year 91PORN published a guide for state and local government officials preparing to nominate the next round of OZ census tracts. The guide is built from best practices adopted by leading states back in 2018, including standouts like Colorado and DC.

91PORN also maintains an interactive map with links to official state government webpages explaining their OZ 2.0 designation processes, where such information is public. The map may be especially useful for local government leaders or other private or civic stakeholders interested in learning more about their states' processes.

To recap, governors have 90 calendar days from July 1 to nominate up to 25 percent of their eligible low-income census tracts for OZ status. Governors do so via a nomination tool provided by the Treasury Department. Extensions of up to 30 days may be requested, and Treasury officials are granted 30 days to process their approvals. Thus, all nominations must be in by October 29, 2026, and those nominations are expected to be certified by November 28th before they go into effect on January 1. A full OZ 2.0 timeline is available in the appendix table here.

Many states started their zone designation processes well before the formal opening of the nomination window and have wrapped up public engagement phases at this point. Others appear not to have gotten started or have provided very little public information signaling how they intend to make decisions that — if past trends identified in the Treasury report hold — will govern where nearly $20 billion in tax-advantaged investment capital flows annually. As we wrote in the guide mentioned above, getting a head start gives states an advantage not only in nominating a competitive cohort of OZ census tracts but also in activating investors and local communities to take advantage of the opportunity ahead.

Surveying these websites, states can be categorized into four general tiers according to how much information they have made publicly available:

  • No public information: At the time of writing, 11 states still have not posted any information online about their OZ 2.0 tract selection processes. Some of these states may be engaging with stakeholders behind the scenes (Tennessee is one engaging in a very robust selection process working directly with its economic development regions). Others may be reticent amid leadership transitions. Nevertheless, the lack of transparency in how states are planning to steward public dollars — especially a state like New York, where hundreds of tracts are again likely to attract billions of OZ dollars, or Iowa, which fared comparatively poorly with its 1.0 designations — is concerning at this stage. 
  • Minimal public information: 13 states and DC have signaled that they are actively engaged in the nomination process but provide little additional information on their priorities for tract characteristics. Some of these states do have nomination forms posted online for local government representatives or members of the public to recommend census tracts for nomination, but states in this bucket offer little guidance. For example, Michigan's form only requires a name, email, tract number, and a short explanation of how the tract aligns with state and local priorities. 
  • Some strategic direction: Roughly one-third of states mention certain priorities or criteria they plan to consider during the process. The level of detail varies, but they all generally look to balance need with potential. In other words, states are aiming to identify "sweet spot" or "goldilocks" tracts that both exhibit genuine need and have the basics in place to attract private capital. Many of these states are also emphasizing permitting, zoning, and site-readiness in their consultations with local governments — nudging interested parties to focus on policy alignment and investment-readiness in particular. Several states in this category ask about projects in the pipeline to prove investor interest in candidate OZ tracts.
  • Serious OZers: About a dozen states have clearly put significant thought into the process and are that to their constituents. Oklahoma conducted a of the public back in April to inform the state's priorities going into the zone designation process, for example. 

These states tend to provide a good amount of detail on their priorities. For example, Pennsylvania has clearly articulated five priorities: alignment with the state's housing action plan, development-ready commercial and industrial sites, downtowns and main streets, rural opportunities, and innovation-led growth. States and have published transparent scoring and weighting systems to determine which tracts to nominate based on those priorities. 

Serious OZers are also using the designation process to build awareness around OZs broadly. They provide resources and to teach jurisdictions about the incentive, how to attract investors, and how to credibly evaluate the competitiveness of an eligible tract. Illinois has published evaluating its 1.0 selections and lessons learned, and is partnering with a university to create a data and mapping tool to evaluate tracts on quantitative and qualitative metrics. Washington and Alabama are also encouraging areas to collaborate on their OZ nominations, offering extra points for broad support from local stakeholders.

What else we've learned

The new data from Treasury offer insights that are useful beyond zone designations, too — particularly on the trajectory and industry composition of investment.

Trajectory

The OZ 2.0 reform package did not just include a new round of census tract designations. It also included changes to the structure of the incentive itself that are likely going to change the trajectory of OZ fundraising and investment significantly going forward.

Under OZ 1.0 rules, interested taxpayers were offered a tax deferral attached to a fixed date — December 31, 2026 — that allowed them to delay paying taxes on realized capital gains they invested into a QOF. Two additional fixed-date incentives were attached to that: a 10-percent step-up in bases for QOF investments held for at least five years and an extra 5 percent for investments held for seven years. Once those benefits perished (especially the 5-year benefit at the end of 2021), the rate at which taxpayers deferred gains into QOFs slowed dramatically (see the below graph). The value of the total assets and deployed OZ investments (QOZ property) held by QOFs continued to increase in line with market conditions.

The effect of the fixed-date expiration of certain tax benefits can also be seen clearly on the below graph depicting the number of investors taking advantage of the new OZ incentives. The number of OZ investors increased rapidly — from zero upon enactment of the incentive to 38,000 four years later in tax year 2021. Very few new investors entered the OZ space once the 5-year, 10-percent step-up expired at the end of 2021, however. Only 3,000 new taxpayers started using the incentive between 2021 and 2024, although many entities already in the marketplace continued investing actively. 

The shape of the OZ 2.0 funding curve could differ dramatically. Under the new rules, all investors enjoy a rolling 5-year deferral with a 10-percent step-up in basis, removing the cliff that slowed the momentum of the OZ 1.0 market so significantly. States, localities, and private investors can anticipate a much steadier flow of investment and much more natural cadence of new investors entering the market.

Industry

The majority of OZ investment is classified in tax filings as real estate: 77 percent.[8] This is in line with the perception that real estate is the dominant OZ investment activity. But the top-line figure almost certainly masks important nuances under the surface. Since a separately incorporated entity typically exists at each stage of an OZ transaction or project, even real estate that was constructed for business purposes may get classified as part of the real estate sector rather than according to the activity taking place within it, for example manufacturing or warehousing. 

We can credibly assume that residential rental real estate represents a majority of OZ projects and dollars (an assessment backed up ), but there is likely meaningful differentiation in the real estate sector beyond that. The OZ incentive is frequently deployed to support mixed use, commercial, and industrial developments. With multifamily housing construction experiencing a major lull nationally, the market may respond by deploying OZs to support even more such applications under the 2.0 rules. The enhanced new rural incentives could further accelerate the diversification of OZ use-cases.

Looking forward

The OZ designation process underway this summer is one of the most consequential public policy exercises of the year. Decisions made by governors in consultation with their constituents and communities will determine where vital private revitalization dollars flow over the course of the next decade. OZ 1.0 designations transformed neighborhoods, giving once-neglected areas like Salt Lake City's Granary District an entirely new lease on life. OZs have also impacted many communities much more subtly: 44 percent of designated tracts that saw investment registered less than $1 million of OZ capital according to this new data. But put it all together and designations directly led to the creation of 460,000 new housing units spread across every state and in communities of all sizes that would not have been constructed absent the incentive. From Erie, Pennsylvania, to Selma, Alabama, OZs have proven their ability to help local visions become reality. Treasury's timely release of new data serve as a stirring reminder of the stakes surrounding this year's zone designation cycle — and the possibilities in the years ahead.

Keep checking back for insights and resources as OZs 2.0 roll out. 

Notes

  1. A 2024 report from Congress’s Joint Committee on Taxation provided previous estimates with data through the end of 2022, and a prior version of the new Treasury Department working paper published in 2023 included data through the end of 2020.
  2. You can read our summary of the new provisions published last summer here. Please note that some information (specifically pertaining to the number of expected census tracts governors will have to nominate) is out of date.
  3. Puerto Rico and the other territories are excluded in line with the tabulations provided in the paper. Puerto Rico is included in the report's appendix tables, however, revealing that the territory registered $570 million in OZ investment across only 7 percent of its designated tracts. Puerto Rico is a special case in that nearly all of the island was certified as an OZ after a special disaster recovery provision from Congress.
  4. Kevin Corinth, et al., "The Targeting of Place-Based Policies: The New Markets Tax Credit Versus Opportunity Zones," NBER Working Paper 33414, January 2025.
  5. "OZs 1.0" refers to the rules and regulations enacted under the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017, which govern investment up through the end of 2026 and include a round of zone designations that will remain in effect until December 31, 2028.
  6. Per capita figures calculated using 2024 state and national population estimates from the U.S. Census Bureau. Put in different per capita terms — per resident of designated tracts (32 million people), rather than per resident of the whole country (340 million) — OZs mobilized $3,273 per resident.
  7. It is also worth noting that contiguous tracts — non-low-income tracts that governors could nominate because of their adjacency to an OZ under 1.0 rules — did receive a disproportionate share of investment (they represented 2.1 percent of tracts and received 5.7 percent of investment) but ultimately represent only a fraction of the total OZ investment landscape, contrary to popular perception.
  8. Here we are relying on Table 9 in the Treasury report, which covers the sector share of QOZP held by Qualified OZ Businesses, which are usually subsidiary entities within a QOF.

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The Impact of Opportunity Zones on Housing Supply /opportunity-zones-housing-supply/ Wed, 04 Feb 2026 10:30:50 +0000 /?p=23819 Download the Working Paper by Benjamin Glasner, Adam Ozimek, and John Lettieri Download The United States faces a deep and persistent housing shortage, particularly in low-income communities that struggle to attract new investment. Meanwhile, federal policymakers have long searched for cost-efficient ways of boosting housing supply at a meaningful scale.  [...]

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Download the Working Paper

by Benjamin Glasner, Adam Ozimek, and John Lettieri

The United States faces a deep and persistent housing shortage, particularly in low-income communities that struggle to attract new investment. Meanwhile, federal policymakers have long searched for cost-efficient ways of boosting housing supply at a meaningful scale. 

Opportunity Zones (OZs) were designed to change that dynamic by channeling private capital into designated distressed areas through a market-driven, flexible incentive structure. Since implementation, OZs have spurred more than $100 billion in investment to date across thousands of communities. But what has that meant for housing?

A new working paper from 91PORN provides the first quantitative evidence that OZs have significantly increased housing supply in designated communities. By making novel use of HUD data sourced from U.S. Postal Service address counts, the study finds that the OZ incentive increased new housing construction by 70 percent in these areas, generating more than 416,000 new residential addresses between 2019 and the first quarter of 2025. The authors also find that the new development and investment did not merely shift from nearby neighborhoods: For every 100 new residential addresses caused by the OZ incentive, roughly 97 represents net new supply that would not have been built in the absence of OZs.

Updated February, 2026

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OZs 2.0 Alert: Data Expected to Determine Eligibility Now Available /ozs-2-0-data-alert/ Mon, 02 Feb 2026 17:54:12 +0000 /?p=24715 By Kenan Fikri and Jiaxin He On January 29, 2026, the U.S. Census Bureau released American Community Survey (ACS) 5-Year Estimates for 2020–2024, which federal officials have signaled will determine census tract eligibility for the next round of Opportunity Zones (OZ) designations. With this data in hand, state and local officials can see which of [...]

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By Kenan Fikri and Jiaxin He

On January 29, 2026, the U.S. Census Bureau released American Community Survey (ACS) 5-Year Estimates for 2020–2024, which federal officials have signaled will determine census tract eligibility for the next round of Opportunity Zones (OZ) designations.

With this data in hand, state and local officials can see which of their census tracts meet the low-income community criteria and are therefore eligible for OZ status. Officials can also now calculate how many total tracts they will be able to nominate. The knowledge will allow them to begin the zone selection process in earnest.

91PORN has uploaded the new data into our OZs 2.0 Eligibility Mapping tool .

Fewer Zones, Higher Stakes

The One Big Beautiful Bill Act made Opportunity Zones a permanent incentive in the U.S. tax code and calls on governors to select a new round of OZ census tracts to go into effect on January 1, 2027, and last a decade.

At the same time, the bill tightened the eligibility requirements, limiting the median family income (MFI) that any census tract could register if it qualified on the poverty rate, and narrowing the criteria for any tract qualifying on income. Previously, any census tract could be eligible if it had an MFI less than 80 percent of the relevant area benchmark (the metropolitan area for metro tracts, or the state for rural non-metro tracts). Now, tracts must register an MFI less than 70 percent of the benchmark.

Those tighter criteria mean that most states will have fewer OZ census tracts going forward, raising the stakes for each nomination.

Provisionally and pending any additional refined guidance from the Treasury in the coming weeks, we expect 6,544 census tracts across all states and territories to be designated as OZs this cycle, down 25 percent from the 8,764 tracts designated in 2018. Part of that steep reduction comes from the sunsetting of special disaster provisions for Puerto Rico. Across the 50 states and the District of Columbia, the total number of OZ tracts is expected to fall by 20 percent, from 7,826 to 6,293. [1]

The number of likely designations varies according to a state’s population and economic distress. The most OZs will be found in states with lots of low-income communities — a function of both population size and well-being. California and Texas will lead, with over 600 OZ nominations to make, followed by New York (426), Florida (340), and Ohio (258).

By statute, states are supposed to be guaranteed at least 25 OZ census tracts, but lawmakers did not envision that two states — Vermont and Wyoming — would have fewer than 25 census tracts that meet the new, stricter requirements. The U.S. Treasury will have to weigh in with final determinations on how or whether these two states might be able to make up the shortfall.

Three states — Louisiana, Mississippi, and New Mexico — can expect to nominate more OZs in 2026 than they did in 2018. This reflects the growing economic distress experienced by communities in these states.

Seven small population states — Alaska, Delaware, Hawaii, Montana, North Dakota, South Dakota, and Rhode Island — plus the District of Columbia are subject to the 25-tract minimum and can expect to see no change in their OZ count.

That leaves 40 states preparing to nominate fewer OZ census tracts for the decade ahead than they have currently. Some of these states were hit disproportionately hard by the tightened MFI criteria. Take Minnesota, for example, where poverty is not especially deep but incomes can still lag well behind the state benchmark in rural areas. Its OZ count will fall by 43 percent, more than any other state’s.

91PORN is committed to providing state and local leaders with the insights and information they need to make informed decisions during their zone selection process. To stay up to date, sign up for our OZ and bookmark this webpage.

In addition to 91PORN’s interactive , a full list of census tracts that meet the eligibility criteria based on 2020-2024 ACS data is available for download .

Notes

  1. Future Treasury guidance affecting small population states, territories, and tracts with missing data may increase these numbers slightly. This post will be updated as more information becomes available.

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Opportunity Zones 2.0: A Guide for Governors and Mayors /ozs-guidance/ Mon, 24 Nov 2025 17:22:34 +0000 /?p=24601 Download the Guide by Kenan Fikri, John Lettieri, and Catherine Lyons Download Summary The 2025 Reconciliation Act, also known as the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA), calls on governors to act in summer 2026 by nominating one-quarter of their low-income census tracts for Opportunity Zone (OZ) [...]

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Download the Guide

by Kenan Fikri, John Lettieri, and Catherine Lyons

Summary

The 2025 Reconciliation Act, also known as the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA), calls on governors to act in summer 2026 by nominating one-quarter of their low-income census tracts for Opportunity Zone (OZ) status. OZ designations guide tens of billions of dollars in private sector investment each year. The zone designation process therefore gives governors a rare opportunity to shape the landscape of investment in their states — and channel that investment towards the low-income communities that need it most.

This guide is intended to help governors and their staff, as well as the mayors and local officials they will consult, make the most informed OZ designations possible. The guide will:

  • Explain what Opportunity Zones are and how they work
  • Summarize the national zone designation process and timeline
  • Establish a framework for selecting zones with purpose, including:
    • How to set up a good selection process
    • How to identify good census tracts for OZ status

Experience from OZ 1.0 underscores that OZ designation alone does not generate investment. Only well-chosen zones paired with development-ready policies will attract capital and deliver impact at scale.

This guide is organized around eight principles that define successful OZ designation strategies:

  1. Get a head start
  2. Set a statewide economic vision
  3. Designate a lead coordinating entity within state government
  4. Engage local partners strategically
  5. Balance economic need and investment potential
  6. Combine both quantitative and qualitative insights
  7. Embrace purposeful transparency
  8. Align OZ nominations with supportive policy tools
OZ designation is one of the most powerful economic development tools at governors’ disposal — and nominating zones will be one of the most consequential decisions they will make during their tenures. More than $100 billion in qualifying investment has flowed into targeted areas since the first round of designations in 2018. OZ 2.0 has the potential to generate even greater results, but only if state and local leaders build a foundation for success.

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U.S. OPPORTUNITY ZONES: WHAT OPPORTUNITY ZONES PERMANENCE MEANS for Corporate Investors https://siteselection.com/u-s-opportunity-zones-what-opportunity-zones-permanence-means-for-corporate-investors/ Wed, 05 Nov 2025 15:07:47 +0000 /?p=24558 The post appeared first on Economic Innovation Group.

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Opportunity Zones Are About to Get More Scarce as Tax Bills Come Due https://commercialobserver.com/2025/07/opportunity-zones-2025-changes/ Tue, 29 Jul 2025 15:21:41 +0000 /?p=24220 The post appeared first on Economic Innovation Group.

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Agency Behind Green Cards, Work Permits Expands Enforcement Role https://news.bloomberglaw.com/daily-labor-report/agency-behind-green-cards-work-permits-expands-enforcement-role Tue, 22 Jul 2025 13:14:05 +0000 /?p=24211 The post appeared first on Economic Innovation Group.

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A real estate tax shelter that aided Detroit projects has been made permanent — with big changes https://www.crainsdetroit.com/real-estate/opportunity-zones Mon, 21 Jul 2025 13:40:00 +0000 /?p=24206 The post appeared first on Economic Innovation Group.

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Opportunity Zones 2.0: Where Things Stand After the One Big Beautiful Bill Act /opportunity-zones-2-0-where-things-stand/ Fri, 11 Jul 2025 16:15:33 +0000 /?p=24180 By John Lettieri, Kenan Fikri, and Catherine Lyons Key Points The One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) makes Opportunity Zones (OZ) a permanent pillar of U.S. economic development policy, with decennial redesignation cycles that will enable governors to refresh the map of targeted communities according to current economic conditions on a predictable schedule. The OBBBA [...]

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By John Lettieri, Kenan Fikri, and Catherine Lyons

Key Points

  • The One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) makes Opportunity Zones (OZ) a permanent pillar of U.S. economic development policy, with decennial redesignation cycles that will enable governors to refresh the map of targeted communities according to current economic conditions on a predictable schedule.
  • The OBBBA does more than simply make the OZ incentive permanent. It streamlines the structure of the incentive to provide certainty and neutrality, ensuring that all investors receive the same benefit for investing in a given area no matter when their investment occurs.
  • The new OZ benefit structure heavily favors rural over non-rural investment, offering triple the standard step-up in basis benefit (30 percent versus the standard 10 percent) for investments made in a newly-created class of rural qualified opportunity funds, in addition to cutting the “substantial improvement” test in half for investments in rural areas.
  • The OBBBA also significantly tightens the requirements that determine which places are eligible for OZ designation, which will lead to a much smaller map of OZ communities in the next round of designations taking effect in 2027.
  • OZ investments will now be subject to sweeping reporting and transparency requirements, and Treasury will be obligated to publish annual reports on OZ investments, along with semi-regular reports tracking the economic performance of designated communities compared to similar, non-designated areas.

Introduction and Background

Opportunity Zones (OZ) were originally enacted as a one-off tax policy experiment in the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA). Nearly eight years and $100 billion in investment later, the incentive has been made a permanent part of the federal tax code via the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA), signed into law by President Trump last week.

A Different Approach to a Familiar Priority

The premise of the OZ incentive was simple and, in broad terms, similar to an array of previous federal programs like the New Markets Tax Credit (NMTC), Enterprise Zones (EZ), and Renewal Communities (RC): use tax incentives to encourage private investment in low-income and high-poverty areas. Nevertheless, the design of the OZ policy was a fundamental—and somewhat radical—departure from those previous efforts. 

Opportunity Zones were designed to prioritize speed, scale, market knowledge, and an uncapped and back-loaded benefit that required investors—not the U.S. taxpayer—to use their own capital and absorb essentially all of the risk. This was a stark contrast to the more traditional community development tax credit model that front-loads all-but-guaranteed benefits to investors regardless of the ongoing viability of the investments themselves. The OZ incentive, as a result, has filled a gap in the federal economic development toolkit, drawing equity capital from a different class of investors than have typically participated in legacy programs.

Early Results

The early results have largely validated the policy’s fundamental design. Opportunity Zones have spurred more private capital across a wider array of low-income communities than any previous policy over such a short period of time. Through the end of 2022 alone, in qualifying equity investments had been made across over 5,600 low income neighborhoods, with most estimates suggesting that investment in the first round of designations will eventually total well over $100 billion.

The community-level effects of the incentive can be observed most clearly in the housing sector, where OZ investment has led to a surge in much-needed supply, turning areas that have been chronic laggards in housing production into national leaders. An 91PORN working paper finds that OZs were responsible for a net increase of 313,000 housing units over a five-year period between Q3 2019 and Q3 2024 above and beyond what would have otherwise occurred—an effect that is still growing significantly in the latest available data. As a result of this sharp change in trajectory, OZ communities surged ahead of non-designated areas in their rate of housing production.

Other examining 12,000 census tracts across 47 large cities finds that OZ designation had a “large and immediate” effect on development activity, with positive spillovers to neighboring non-designated tracts. OZ designation also raised housing values without any corresponding increase in rents.

While the longer-term effects on employment, business establishments, income, and poverty are not yet clear, the question of whether the OZ incentive would lead to net new activity or simply reward activity that would have happened anyway has been answered.

Key Features of OZ 2.0

With the TCJA-enacted Opportunity Zones approaching its statutory expiration date, the core question facing lawmakers was whether to simply extend the incentive (as the House initially opted to do) or instead make it permanent.

What emerged in the OBBBA is a true “2.0” version of Opportunity Zones, with substantial modifications to the policy’s geographic targeting criteria, incentive structure, and reporting requirements—all made on a permanent basis.

Permanent Incentive, Evolving Geographies

The OBBBA makes the OZ incentive permanent and establishes a redesignation cycle to update the map of designated communities every 10 years. The next designation cycle will begin on July 1, 2026, when governors will begin nominating a new map of census tracts. Once the Secretary of the Treasury certifies those tracts, the new map of Opportunity Zones will go into effect on January 1, 2027, and last for 10 years, after which it will be replaced with updated designations on a decennial basis.

The current OZ map will remain in effect through the end of 2028, meaning that it will overlap with the new round of designations for two years. (The House bill would have sunset the current map at the end of 2026—two years early—but that provision was removed in the final bill.)

New Targeting Criteria

As was the case in the original OZ statute, governors may select up to 25 percent of their states’ eligible tracts, with a 25-tract minimum. Importantly, governors maintain full discretion when nominating tracts for OZ status. (The House version of OBBBA would have mandated a 33 percent set-aside for rural designations, but that mandate was removed before final passage.)

The TCJA-enacted version of Opportunity Zones used the same “low-income communities” (LIC) definition for eligibility that was established in the New Markets Tax Credit (NMTC) program. The OBBBA imposes new, stricter criteria for OZ eligibility. For future rounds of designation, a census tract will need to satisfy one of the following tests:

  • Median family income (MFI) below 70 percent of the state (non-metro) or metro (metro areas) median (versus 80 percent in the original OZ provision).
  • Poverty rate of 20 percent or greater (unchanged), plus a newly-established MFI cap set at 125 percent of the applicable state or metro median. The MFI cap closes a statistical loophole that allowed a small number of high-income census tracts to qualify for OZ status.

A map of all eligible census tracts based on these criteria and the most current American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates for 2019-2023 is available through the interactive dashboard below.

Smaller Map

The number of designations in the new 2027 OZ map is likely to be significantly smaller than in the current OZ map primarily thanks to the stricter MFI test. Looking exclusively at the 50 states and D.C., we estimate a 19.5 percent reduction in the number of OZ designations in the upcoming round, dropping from 7,826 to 6,304 (and from 8,764 to an estimated 6,555 including territories). 

Several states see much larger declines than the national average, such as Minnesota (-42 percent), Nebraska (-36 percent), and Oregon (-36 percent). Ten states would see no reduction in designations thanks to the 25-tract minimum rule.

Given that Congress prioritized boosting OZ 2.0 tax benefits for investments in rural communities, it is noteworthy that the new targeting rules will disproportionately exclude rural communities that would have otherwise qualified for designation. 

More Distressed Pool of Census Tracts

The stricter targeting criteria will not only result in a smaller map, but also a more distressed one. 

The average OZ-eligible census tract has a poverty rate more than twice the national figure, compared to 1.68-times for TCJA-era designations. Similarly, the median family’s income in the average eligible tract is now only 59 percent of the national figure, compared to 65 percent before. The typical eligible tract is also more diverse now, paralleling the nation’s demographic evolution. TCJA-era OZ designations were already more distressed across the board than the class of eligible low-income tracts generally; the OZ map going forward is likely to be even more targeted towards the neediest communities. 

Deleted Provisions

Some of the original OZ eligibility provisions have been removed entirely. The TCJA contained a special rule for Puerto Rico that automatically designated all eligible tracts. The OBBBA drops this provision. Likewise, the TCJA targeting rules allowed governors to use up to five percent of their selections on certain tracts that were adjacent to a designated LIC, but did not themselves meet the core income or poverty LIC criteria. (In the end, roughly two percent of all OZ tracts were designated under this exception.) This too has been removed.

New Incentive Structure

The OBBBA modifies the core OZ incentive structure in ways that ensure greater certainty, simplicity, and fairness.

Under the original OZ model, taxpayers could receive three tax benefits for investing their unrealized capital gains in Qualified Opportunity Funds (QOF), which are special-purpose funds designed to invest in OZ communities. Those three tax benefits are:

  • A deferral on their original capital gains recognition until December 31, 2026;
  • A step-up in basis on their original gains of up to 15 percent;
  • Tax-free growth on their investment if held for 10 years or more.

While the tax-free growth on new gains from an investment in a QOF were available no matter when a taxpayer invested, the first two benefits—the deferral and the step-up—decayed over time, meaning that only very early investors could achieve the full range of benefits. This kept the cost of the provision low by ensuring that the bulk of deferred tax revenue would be recaptured within the 10-year congressional scoring window. It was, however, far from ideal from an economic or tax policy standpoint, and has resulted in a steady wind-down in the amount of new investment going into QOFs as the value of the tax benefits have diminished.

The most important new feature of OZ 2.0—mirroring one of 91PORN’s top policy recommendations—is a streamlined benefit structure that ensures all investors receive the same benefit no matter when their investment occurs. Instead of a deferral that steadily winds down over time, all OZ investors will receive a standard, five-year deferral accompanied by a 10 percent step-up in basis on their original investment. No more benefit decay, no more timing cliffs.

Standardizing the deferral benefit will help ensure consistent investor participation over time, making it easier to maintain momentum for local revitalization efforts.

Meanwhile, the OBBBA maintains the core OZ benefit: tax-free growth for investments held 10 years or more. If an investor holds for 30 years, they must now take a new basis equal to fair market value at that time.

Rural Enhancements

The OBBBA significantly enhances the OZ 2.0 tax benefit for rural investments.

First, it establishes a new class of opportunity funds—Qualified Rural Opportunity Funds (QROFs)—through which investors can receive a 30 percent step-up after five years, versus the 10 percent standard step-up. 

QROFs must invest at least 90 percent of their assets in rural OZ tracts, which the statute defines as any area not in or immediately adjacent to a town with at least 50,000 inhabitants. (We should note that this was a somewhat puzzling definitional choice since it does not cleanly apply at the census tract level, presenting Treasury with extra administrative burden in determining which areas satisfy the definition.) The interactive eligibility map linked to above includes a rural filter based on our best anticipation of Treasury’s read of the rule. 

The OBBBA also lowers the “substantial improvement” test threshold for rural investments by half. Typically, an OZ investment must either be new (“original use”) or improve the value of an existing asset by doubling its adjusted basis over a 30-month period (“substantial improvement”). Under the OZ 2.0 rules, that 100 percent improvement threshold is reduced to 50 percent, which could make many otherwise non-qualifying investments eligible for the OZ benefit. This is consistent with stakeholder feedback Congress received about how to better align the incentive structure with the economics of rural investments.

Delayed Effective Date for New Benefits 

The OZ 2.0 tax benefits do not take effect until January 1, 2027—the same day the new OZ map takes effect. This creates an unfortunate disincentive for OZ investment during the intervening period, because a taxpayer can achieve a much stronger benefit by waiting until the new rules are in effect. As a result, we expect a relative “dead zone” of OZ investment for the next 18 months, with potentially harmful consequences for projects that are currently still fundraising and for communities that had hoped to see a renewed surge of activity following passage of the OBBBA. 

Reporting Requirements

Another major change is the OBBBA’s inclusion of sweeping reporting and transparency requirements for OZ investment activity—something long sought-after by the policy’s supporters and critics alike. Treasury will now be required to issue annual public reports that detail the number of QOFs and their total assets, the number of designated tracts with confirmed investment, and details on investment sectors, housing units created, employment impacts, and more. In years six and 11 after enactment, Treasury will also be required to issue reports assessing the socioeconomic performance of designated tracts versus comparable, non-designated areas using indicators like job creation, poverty rates, income, housing, and business formation. These public disclosures will dramatically improve the quality and timeliness of information related to the policy, helping to inform local implementation efforts as well as future improvements to the policy itself.

Unfinished Business: What Got Left Out of OZ 2.0?

While a permanent and improved incentive structure is a major achievement, there had been hope among OZ stakeholders that the OBBBA would go further in expanding the key features of the incentive and correcting for serious shortcomings in the way the policy was originally implemented. 

The most glaring omission was the lack of any technical improvements to ensure that investments in non-real estate operating businesses are no longer disadvantaged—a well-known shortcoming in the current rules governing qualifying OZ activity. Other consensus priorities for stakeholders, such as broadening participation by making non-capital gains (i.e., “ordinary income”) eligible, allowing a “fund-of-funds” structure for QOFs to aggregate and deploy capital, enhancing the role of Community Development Financial Institutions in the OZ ecosystem, or easing the rules for certain affordable housing investments, were also left unaddressed. 

The action now moves to the regulatory and rule-writing phase, where it is possible that some technical improvements can be made in areas where the statute gives the IRS broad discretion. 

Conclusion

Only ten years after the white paper that introduced the Opportunity Zones concept to the world, the policy has gone from a successful experiment to a permanent fixture of the federal tax code.

The changes made to the policy in the OBBBA provide a solid foundation for future iterations and improvements in the years ahead. Top of the list for lawmakers should be removing current barriers to non-real estate investment so that Opportunity Zones can achieve their full and transformative potential.

The post Opportunity Zones 2.0: Where Things Stand After the One Big Beautiful Bill Act appeared first on Economic Innovation Group.

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Congress Made Opportunity Zones Permanent. Here’s What Happens Next https://www.bisnow.com/national/news/opportunity-zones/congress-made-the-opportunity-zone-program-permanent-heres-what-happens-next-130101 Thu, 10 Jul 2025 13:10:24 +0000 /?p=24178 The post appeared first on Economic Innovation Group.

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The post appeared first on Economic Innovation Group.

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